[Scilab-users] Corona modelling
Vesela Pasheva
vvp at tu-sofia.bg
Mon Mar 30 16:12:33 CEST 2020
Hello colleagues,
I would like to know whether the variable D of dead persons could be
included in the model considered. Up till now the model considers the
variables S - susceptible, I - infected and R - recovered. Where do the
Dead persons D go.
Of course i such case the system will be of four differential equations.
Best regards
Vesela
На 30-03-2020 15:38, Heinz Nabielek написа:
>> On 30.03.2020, at 08:13, Stéphane Mottelet
>> <stephane.mottelet at utc.fr> wrote:
>
>> Hello Heinz,
>>
>> Here is an interactive version (made for my children last week...) :
>>
>> // Confinement COVID-19 !
>> // Stephane MOTTELET, UTC
>> // Tue Mar 24 08:55:03 CET 2020....
>
> Great many thanks:
>
> o The SIR model is great and can be readily understood.
>
> o Scilab is great: one line of code where big EXCEL sheet produced a
> mess.
>
> o Scilab friends and colleagues are great: instantaneous and real
> help.
>
> If the modelling is anywhere near to right, it will soon be over in
> Austria (cyan circles are recorded infections). But this is likely
> over-optimistic.....
> Heinz
>
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