[Scilab-users] Corona modelling

[Heinz Nabielek]

It is generally assumed that 1% of the infected will die. But that would not be part of the modelling, depends mainly on local health services.

Heinz

> On 30.03.2020, at 16:12, Vesela Pasheva <vvp at tu-sofia.bg> wrote:
> 
> Hello colleagues,
> 
> I would like to know whether the variable D of dead persons could be included in the model considered. Up till now the model considers the variables S - susceptible, I - infected and R - recovered. Where do the Dead persons D go.
> Of course i such case the system will be of four differential equations.
> 
> Best regards
> 
> Vesela
> 
> На 30-03-2020 15:38, Heinz Nabielek написа:
>>> On 30.03.2020, at 08:13, Stéphane Mottelet
>>> <stephane.mottelet at utc.fr> wrote:
>>> Hello Heinz,
>>> Here is an interactive version (made for my children last week...) :
>>> // Confinement COVID-19 !
>>> // Stephane MOTTELET, UTC
>>> // Tue Mar 24 08:55:03 CET 2020....
>> Great many thanks:
>> o The SIR model is great and can be readily understood.
>> o Scilab is great: one line of code where big EXCEL sheet produced a
>> mess.
>> o Scilab friends and colleagues are great: instantaneous and real
>> help.
>> If the modelling is anywhere near to right, it will soon be over in
>> Austria (cyan circles are recorded infections). But this is likely
>> over-optimistic.....
>> Heinz
>> ______________
>> Dr Heinz Nabielek
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>> A-1020 Wien, Österreich
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>> cell +43 677 616 349 22
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